Release IntelligenceWorkspace current

week-ended-2026-09-19 · U.S. Department of Labor

Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims

One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.

Scheduled: Sep 24 · 12:30:00 PM UTC
Published: Sep 24 · 12:30:00 PM UTC; 0 ms late from schedule
Available: Oct 1 · 7:02:42 PM UTC; 10472.7 min after publication
Market clock: Publication time; New York sessions

Before release

Release Briefing

Weekly claims are the fastest recurring signal of labor-market deterioration or resilience.

Analysis componentOpen five-year indicator analysis

Event value: 198,000 claims; Initial Jobless Claims
Current / event regime: Low; z -1.30
Historical percentile: 25th percentile; Quintile 2 · five years
Revision reliability: High; 100/100 · 7 releases

Relevant market exposures

XLY XLF MTUM

At release

Release Monitor

Indicator	Actual	Prior initial	Prior revised	Release move
Initial Jobless ClaimsLevel · FRED fallback	198,000 claims	198,000 claims	—	+0 claims
Continuing ClaimsLevel · FRED fallback	1,712,000 claims	1,717,000 claims	—	-5,000 claims

“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.

After release

Market Reaction

S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.

Benchmark	+1D	+5D	+1M
S&P 500 Index	-0.02%	-0.71%	-0.79%
Nasdaq Composite	+0.01%	-0.28%	-3.7%

Regime + percentile matched

Historical Analogues

Low-sample analogue history · 7 evaluated

S&P 500 Index

Low · quintile 2

0 matching releases

Window	Mean	Median	Positive
+1D	Not available	Not available	Not available
+5D	Not available	Not available	Not available
+1M	Not available	Not available	Not available

No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.

Nasdaq Composite

Low · quintile 2

0 matching releases

Window	Mean	Median	Positive
+1D	Not available	Not available	Not available
+5D	Not available	Not available	Not available
+1M	Not available	Not available	Not available

No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.

Stored release examples

week-ended-2026-09-05

Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims

86% match

Initial Jobless Claims: 207,000 claimsContinuing Claims: 1,765,000 claims

S&P 500 Index: D0 -0.58% · D5 +0.02%
Nasdaq Composite: D0 -0.65% · D5 +0.63%

Open workspace

week-ended-2026-08-29

Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims

69% match

Initial Jobless Claims: 207,000 claimsContinuing Claims: 1,775,000 claims

S&P 500 Index: D0 +1.06% · D5 -0.13%
Nasdaq Composite: D0 +1.4% · D5 +0.44%

Open workspace

week-ended-2026-08-22

Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims

58% match

Initial Jobless Claims: 204,000 claimsContinuing Claims: 1,771,000 claims

S&P 500 Index: D0 +0.72% · D5 +0.94%
Nasdaq Composite: D0 +1.57% · D5 +1.74%

Open workspace

week-ended-2026-08-15

Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims

54% match

Initial Jobless Claims: 207,000 claimsContinuing Claims: 1,796,000 claims

S&P 500 Index: D0 -0.87% · D5 +0.3%
Nasdaq Composite: D0 -1.0% · D5 +0.8%

Open workspace

week-ended-2026-08-01

Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims

53% match

Initial Jobless Claims: 200,000 claimsContinuing Claims: 1,799,000 claims

S&P 500 Index: D0 -0.18% · D5 +0.98%
Nasdaq Composite: D0 -0.06% · D5 +1.67%

Open workspace

Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.