About Capitals Hill
Daily macro intelligence for a connected economic view.
Macro intelligence,
connected.
Capitals Hill turns official U.S. economic releases into a daily view of activity, momentum, recession risk, and forward risk—then checks that reading against markets and the yield curve.
The goal is simple: make the economic state easier to read without hiding the dates, methods, or source context behind it.
How the view is built
One framework.
Four layers of context.
- 01
Official releases
High-quality, time-stamped economic data from authoritative public sources.
- 02
Macro context
Each release is organized by broad themes and its place in the business cycle.
- 03
Market confirmation
Liquidity, market, and yield-curve signals test whether the macro story is holding.
- 04
Transparent methods
Source notes, as-of dates, and methodology stay attached to every conclusion.
Data & Citation
Source credit stays visible.
Macro data include series retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Use is subject to FRED Terms of Use and applicable source-owner permissions.
For publication, cite the original data source and acknowledge FRED as the distributor, using the series-level citation shown in FRED notes when available. Some copyrighted or pre-approval series require permission from the original data owner before commercial reuse.