Daily Macro Intelligence

See the economic statebefore the market tellsthe story.

Official releases, Fed-model activity, market confirmation, and the yield curve-connected in one daily view.

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Economic State

The state of the economy

Fed models · Sahm Rule · Anxious IndexUpdated Oct 22

Activity
ExpandingAbove trend
Momentum
SteadyTrend-consistent
Recession signal
LowBelow threshold
Forward risk
ModerateElevated watch
  • Official sources
  • Transparent methods
  • As-of dates attached

What changed

Since the prior release
GrowthStronger breadth in services
InflationCooling shelter, stickier core
LiquidityConditions slightly tighter

Three lenses on the macro cycle

See the economy
from every angle.

Each lens highlights a different driver of the cycle—so you can see the full picture.

Growth & Demand

Track the drivers of output, demand, and income across the economy.

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Inflation

Monitor prices and purchasing power across goods and services.

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Monetary & Liquidity

Follow financial conditions, credit, and liquidity signals.

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Our progress

From data to
direction—our
method.

We turn official releases into a clear, consistent view of the economy.

Learn our methodology
  1. 01

    Official data

    We start with high-quality, time-stamped releases and documents.

  2. 02

    Macro context

    We map each release to broad themes and the business cycle.

  3. 03

    Signal assessment

    We assess direction, magnitude, and surprises.

  4. 04

    Integrated view

    We combine signals across lenses for a coherent read.

Inside the product

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dashboard
workflow.

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Choose a product view

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Dashboard overview

Read regime, breadth, and indicator direction together.

BreadthLaborInflationHousingGrowth & DemandMonetary & LiquidityAll

Macro Regime

Growth · Inflation · Liquidity

Direction and strength across the cycle.

DirectionStrengthAs-of date

Macro Breadth

Participation across indicators

Latest update, one-year trend, and class breakdown.

Latest updateOne-year trendBy class
Indicator OverviewOpen the latest value, recent change, direction, and distribution for every indicator in the active view.

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