2026-09 · University of Michigan
One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.
Before release
Consumer sentiment and inflation expectations reveal household confidence and potential pressure on future spending and prices.
At release
| Indicator | Actual | Prior initial | Prior revised | Release move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer SentimentLevel · Official | 48.1 index | 51.7 index | — | -3.6 index |
| U. Michigan Inflation Expectations (1Y)Level · Official | 4.6% | 4% | — | +0.6 pp |
“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.
After release
S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.
| Benchmark | +1D | +5D | +1M |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Index | +0.51% | -0.49% | Pending |
| Nasdaq Composite | +0.48% | -0.25% | Pending |
Regime + percentile matched
Low · quintile 3
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +5D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +1M | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.
Low · quintile 3
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +5D | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
| +1M | Not available | Not available | Not available | 0 |
No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.
2026-08
Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.