S&P 500 Index
High · quintile 5
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | -0.17% | -0.17% | 0% | 1 |
| +5D | -2.02% | -2.02% | 0% | 1 |
| +1M | -2.3% | -2.3% | 0% | 1 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Release IntelligenceWorkspace current
week-ended-2026-10-14 · Federal Reserve
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.
- Scheduled
- Oct 15 · 8:30:00 PM UTC
- Published
- Not reported
- Available
- Oct 15 · 8:30:18 PM UTC
- 18.5 sec after schedule (fallback basis)
- Market clock
- Scheduled time
- New York sessions
Before release
Release Briefing
The Federal Reserve balance sheet and reserve components map shifts in banking-system liquidity.
Analysis componentOpen five-year indicator analysis
- Event value
- 6,755,639 millions of dollars
- Fed Balance Sheet
- Current / event regime
- High
- z 1.29
- Historical percentile
- 91th percentile
- Quintile 5 · five years
- Revision reliability
- High
- 100/100 · 10 releases
At release
Release Monitor
| Indicator | Actual | Prior initial | Prior revised | Release move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Balance SheetLevel · Official | 6,755,639 millions of dollars | 6,747,560 millions of dollars | — | +8,079 millions of dollars |
| Fed Balance SheetChange · Official | 8,079 millions of dollars | 4,529 millions of dollars | — | +3,550 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesLevel · Official | 3,022,140 millions of dollars | 3,029,659 millions of dollars | — | -7,519 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesChange · Official | -7,519 millions of dollars | 81,569 millions of dollars | — | -89,088 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountLevel · Official | 883,373 millions of dollars | 880,253 millions of dollars | — | +3,120 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountChange · Official | 3,120 millions of dollars | -68,421 millions of dollars | — | +71,541 millions of dollars |
“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.
After release
Market Reaction
S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.
| Benchmark | +1D | +5D | +1M |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Index | -1.09% | -1.28% | Pending |
| Nasdaq Composite | -2.15% | -2.9% | Pending |
Regime + percentile matched
Historical Analogues
Low-sample analogue history · 10 evaluated
1 matching releases
Nasdaq Composite
High · quintile 5
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | -0.28% | -0.28% | 0% | 1 |
| +5D | -2.75% | -2.75% | 0% | 1 |
| +1M | -2.3% | -2.3% | 0% | 1 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Stored release examples
week-ended-2026-09-16
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,746,548 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 5,929 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 3,013,794 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.17% · D5 +1.38%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.39% · D5 +2.46%
week-ended-2026-08-12
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,759,955 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 11,388 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,944,059 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.17% · D5 -1.6%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.28% · D5 -2.32%
week-ended-2026-09-02
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,737,204 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 6,292 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,894,531 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.38% · D5 -1.65%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.29% · D5 -1.5%
week-ended-2026-09-23
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,747,704 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 1,156 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,930,193 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.51% · D5 +0.24%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.48% · D5 +0.93%
week-ended-2026-08-26
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,730,912 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: -14,787 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,924,936 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.25% · D5 -0.16%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.52% · D5 -0.13%
Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.