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Release IntelligenceWorkspace current

week-ended-2026-09-16 · Federal Reserve

Factors Affecting Reserve Balances

One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.

Scheduled
Sep 17 · 8:30:00 PM UTC
Published
Not reported
Available
Oct 1 · 7:03:03 PM UTC
20073.1 min after schedule (fallback basis)
Market clock
Scheduled time
New York sessions

Before release

Release Briefing

The Federal Reserve balance sheet and reserve components map shifts in banking-system liquidity.

Analysis componentOpen five-year indicator analysis
Event value
6,746,548 millions of dollars
Fed Balance Sheet
Current / event regime
Normal
z 0.27
Historical percentile
71th percentile
Quintile 4 · five years
Revision reliability
High
100/100 · 6 releases

Relevant market exposures

At release

Release Monitor

IndicatorActualPrior initialPrior revisedRelease move
Fed Balance SheetLevel · Official6,746,548 millions of dollars6,740,619 millions of dollars—+5,929 millions of dollars
Fed Balance SheetChange · Official5,929 millions of dollars3,415 millions of dollars—+2,514 millions of dollars
Reserve BalancesLevel · Official3,013,794 millions of dollars2,991,310 millions of dollars—+22,484 millions of dollars
Reserve BalancesChange · Official22,484 millions of dollars96,779 millions of dollars—-74,295 millions of dollars
Treasury General AccountLevel · Official877,028 millions of dollars883,335 millions of dollars—-6,307 millions of dollars
Treasury General AccountChange · Official-6,307 millions of dollars-84,600 millions of dollars—+78,293 millions of dollars

“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.

After release

Market Reaction

S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.

Benchmark+1D+5D+1M
S&P 500 Index+0.17%+0.87%+0.28%
Nasdaq Composite+0.39%+1.97%-1.05%

Regime + percentile matched

Historical Analogues

Low-sample analogue history · 6 evaluated

S&P 500 Index

Normal · quintile 4

0 matching releases
WindowMeanMedianPositiven
+1DNot availableNot availableNot available0
+5DNot availableNot availableNot available0
+1MNot availableNot availableNot available0

No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.

Nasdaq Composite

Normal · quintile 4

0 matching releases
WindowMeanMedianPositiven
+1DNot availableNot availableNot available0
+5DNot availableNot availableNot available0
+1MNot availableNot availableNot available0

No earlier releases match both this regime and percentile quintile in the retained history.

Stored release examples

week-ended-2026-09-02

Factors Affecting Reserve Balances

53% match
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,737,204 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 6,292 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,894,531 millions of dollars
S&P 500 Index
D0 -0.38% · D5 -1.65%
Nasdaq Composite
D0 -0.29% · D5 -1.5%
Open workspace

week-ended-2026-08-12

Factors Affecting Reserve Balances

52% match
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,759,955 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 11,388 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,944,059 millions of dollars
S&P 500 Index
D0 -0.17% · D5 -1.6%
Nasdaq Composite
D0 -0.28% · D5 -2.32%
Open workspace

week-ended-2026-08-26

Factors Affecting Reserve Balances

48% match
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,730,912 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: -14,787 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,924,936 millions of dollars
S&P 500 Index
D0 -0.25% · D5 -0.16%
Nasdaq Composite
D0 -0.52% · D5 -0.13%
Open workspace

week-ended-2026-08-05

Factors Affecting Reserve Balances

38% match
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,748,567 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 10,377 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,993,349 millions of dollars
S&P 500 Index
D0 +0.62% · D5 +0.98%
Nasdaq Composite
D0 +1.3% · D5 +1.45%
Open workspace

week-ended-2026-08-19

Factors Affecting Reserve Balances

38% match
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,745,699 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: -14,256 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,935,287 millions of dollars
S&P 500 Index
D0 +0.43% · D5 +0.92%
Nasdaq Composite
D0 +0.43% · D5 +1.29%
Open workspace

Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.