S&P 500 Index
Normal · quintile 2
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | +0.43% | +0.43% | 100% | 1 |
| +5D | +1.18% | +1.18% | 100% | 1 |
| +1M | +1.62% | +1.62% | 100% | 1 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Release IntelligenceWorkspace current
week-ended-2026-09-02 · Federal Reserve
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
One workspace for briefing, official publication status, market reaction, and comparable historical outcomes.
- Scheduled
- Sep 3 · 8:30:00 PM UTC
- Published
- Not reported
- Available
- Oct 1 · 7:02:58 PM UTC
- 40233.0 min after schedule (fallback basis)
- Market clock
- Scheduled time
- New York sessions
Before release
Release Briefing
The Federal Reserve balance sheet and reserve components map shifts in banking-system liquidity.
Analysis componentOpen five-year indicator analysis
- Event value
- 6,737,204 millions of dollars
- Fed Balance Sheet
- Current / event regime
- Normal
- z -0.73
- Historical percentile
- 40th percentile
- Quintile 2 · five years
- Revision reliability
- High
- 100/100 · 4 releases
At release
Release Monitor
| Indicator | Actual | Prior initial | Prior revised | Release move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Balance SheetLevel · FRED fallback | 6,737,204 millions of dollars | 6,730,912 millions of dollars | — | +6,292 millions of dollars |
| Fed Balance SheetChange · FRED fallback | 6,292 millions of dollars | -14,787 millions of dollars | — | +21,079 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesLevel · FRED fallback | 2,894,531 millions of dollars | 2,924,936 millions of dollars | — | -30,405 millions of dollars |
| Reserve BalancesChange · FRED fallback | -30,405 millions of dollars | -10,351 millions of dollars | — | -20,054 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountLevel · FRED fallback | 967,935 millions of dollars | 950,736 millions of dollars | — | +17,199 millions of dollars |
| Treasury General AccountChange · FRED fallback | 17,199 millions of dollars | -2,876 millions of dollars | — | +20,075 millions of dollars |
“Release move” is initial minus the revised prior when available, otherwise initial minus the prior print. It is not a consensus surprise.
After release
Market Reaction
S&P 500 and Nasdaq cumulative returns from the last regular close before publication to the +1D, +5D, and +1M trading sessions.
| Benchmark | +1D | +5D | +1M |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Index | -0.38% | -1.17% | +0.34% |
| Nasdaq Composite | -0.29% | -0.94% | +3.36% |
Regime + percentile matched
Historical Analogues
Low-sample analogue history · 4 evaluated
1 matching releases
Nasdaq Composite
Normal · quintile 2
| Window | Mean | Median | Positive | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1D | +0.43% | +0.43% | 100% | 1 |
| +5D | +1.82% | +1.82% | 100% | 1 |
| +1M | +4.05% | +4.05% | 100% | 1 |
Low sample: interpret these outcomes cautiously.
Stored release examples
week-ended-2026-08-12
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,759,955 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 11,388 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,944,059 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.17% · D5 -1.6%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.28% · D5 -2.32%
week-ended-2026-08-26
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,730,912 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: -14,787 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,924,936 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 -0.25% · D5 -0.16%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 -0.52% · D5 -0.13%
week-ended-2026-08-05
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,748,567 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: 10,377 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,993,349 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.62% · D5 +0.98%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +1.3% · D5 +1.45%
week-ended-2026-08-19
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
Fed Balance Sheet: 6,745,699 millions of dollarsFed Balance Sheet: -14,256 millions of dollarsReserve Balances: 2,935,287 millions of dollars
- S&P 500 Index
- D0 +0.43% · D5 +0.92%
- Nasdaq Composite
- D0 +0.43% · D5 +1.29%
Aggregate outcomes use only earlier releases of the selected component with the same as-of-release regime and five-year percentile quintile. The target event is excluded and pending trading horizons remain unavailable until enough closes exist.